Newcastle United v Brentford, Premier League 2022–23
NewcastleNewcastle United
Guimarães 21', 56'Murphy 28'Almirón 82'Pinnock 90' (OG)
Final score 5 to 1
Expected goals 1.4 to 1.2
BrentfordBrentford
Toney 54' penalty
- Date Saturday, October 8, 2022
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 8. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 40%, draw 27%, Brentford win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 8. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Brentford | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 5 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||