Newcastle United v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2022–23
NewcastleNewcastle United
Undav 22' (OG)Burn 45+4'Wilson 89'Guimarães 90+1'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 2.9 to 0.7
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Undav 51'
- Date Thursday, May 18, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 45%, draw 22%, Brighton win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||