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Newcastle United v Manchester City, Premier League 2022–23

NewcastleNewcastle United

Almirón 28'Wilson 39'Trippier 54'

Final score 3 to 3

Expected goals 1.7 to 2.5

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Gündogan 5'Haaland 61'Silva 64'

Win chances: Man City favored. Newcastle win 9%, draw 17%, Man City win 74%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Man City
NewcastleMan City
1.72.5
3Goals3
1.01.9