Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa, Premier League 2022–23
Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest
Dennis 15'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 0.3 to 0.8
Aston VillaAston Villa
Young 22'
- Date Monday, October 10, 2022
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 10. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Nott'm Forest win 26%, draw 28%, Aston Villa win 46%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Nott'm Forest | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||