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Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Premier League 2022–23

Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest

Wood 84'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.7 to 1.9

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Silva 41'

Win chances: Man City favored. Nott'm Forest win 9%, draw 17%, Man City win 74%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Nott'm Forest and Man City
Nott'm ForestMan City
0.71.9
1Goals1
0.62.2