Southampton v Aston Villa, Premier League 2022–23
SouthamptonSouthampton
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 0.6 to 1.5
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 77'
- Date Saturday, January 21, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Southampton win 36%, draw 27%, Aston Villa win 37%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Southampton | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.5 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.0 | ||