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Southampton v Chelsea, Premier League 2022–23

SouthamptonSouthampton

Lavia 28'Armstrong 45+1'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.1

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Sterling 23'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Southampton win 20%, draw 23%, Chelsea win 57%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Chelsea
SouthamptonChelsea
0.61.1
2Goals1
0.91.8