Southampton v Manchester City, Premier League 2022–23
SouthamptonSouthampton
Mara 72'
Final score 1 to 4
Expected goals 0.4 to 2.3
Man CityManchester City
Haaland 45', 68'Grealish 58'Álvarez 75' penalty
- Date Saturday, April 8, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 8. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Southampton win 11%, draw 17%, Man City win 72%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 8. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Southampton | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.3 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 0.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.6 | ||