West Ham United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2022–23
West HamWest Ham United
Benrahma 26' penalty
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 2.4 to 1.4
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 17'
- Date Sunday, March 12, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: West Ham favored. West Ham win 51%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 25%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| West Ham | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||