Arsenal v Aston Villa, Premier League 2023–24
ArsenalArsenal
Final score 0 to 2
Expected goals 2.0 to 1.2
Aston VillaAston Villa
Bailey 84'Watkins 87'
- Date Sunday, April 14, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 14. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 71%, draw 18%, Aston Villa win 11%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||