Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2023–24
ArsenalArsenal
Jesus 53'Havertz 87'
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 2.4 to 0.5
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
- Date Sunday, December 17, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 17. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 60%, draw 19%, Brighton win 21%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.5 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||