Arsenal v Burnley, Premier League 2023–24
ArsenalArsenal
Trossard 45+1'Saliba 57'Zinchenko 74'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 1.9 to 0.8
BurnleyBurnley
Brownhill 54'
- Date Saturday, November 11, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 11. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 82%, draw 11%, Burnley win 7%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||