Arsenal v Manchester City, Premier League 2023–24
ArsenalArsenal
Martinelli 86'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 0.9 to 0.6
Man CityManchester City
- Date Sunday, October 8, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 8. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Arsenal win 32%, draw 23%, Man City win 45%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 8. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.6 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||