Arsenal v Manchester United, Premier League 2023–24
ArsenalArsenal
Ødegaard 28'Rice 90+6'Jesus 90+11'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.1 to 1.2
Man UnitedManchester United
Rashford 27'
- Date Sunday, September 3, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 53%, draw 20%, Man United win 27%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Man United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||