Arsenal v Newcastle United, Premier League 2023–24
ArsenalArsenal
Botman 18' (OG)Havertz 24'Saka 65'Kiwior 69'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 1.9 to 0.2
NewcastleNewcastle United
Willock 84'
- Date Saturday, February 24, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 24. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 64%, draw 19%, Newcastle win 17%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 24. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.2 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.2 | ||