Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur, Premier League 2023–24
ArsenalArsenal
Romero 26' (OG)Saka 54' penalty
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 1.8 to 1.4
TottenhamTottenham Hotspur
Heung-Min 42', 55'
- Date Sunday, September 24, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 24. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 55%, draw 20%, Tottenham win 25%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 24. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Tottenham | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||