Aston Villa v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
Rogers 45+1'Diaby 57'Bailey 78'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.4 to 2.2
BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
Solanke 31' penalty
- Date Sunday, April 21, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 54%, draw 22%, Bournemouth win 24%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Bournemouth | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.2 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||