Aston Villa v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 14', 21', 65'Estupiñán 26' (OG)Ramsey 85'Luiz 90+7'
Final score 6 to 1
Expected goals 1.8 to 1.3
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Fati 50'
- Date Saturday, September 30, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brighton favored. Aston Villa win 39%, draw 21%, Brighton win 40%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 6 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||