Aston Villa v Chelsea, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
Cucurella 4' (OG)Rogers 42'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 0.8 to 1.2
ChelseaChelsea
Madueke 62'Gallagher 81'
- Date Saturday, April 27, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 27. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 46%, draw 22%, Chelsea win 32%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Chelsea | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.7 | ||