Aston Villa v Crystal Palace, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
Durán 87'Luiz 90+8' penaltyBailey 90+11'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.5 to 0.8
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Édouard 47'
- Date Saturday, September 16, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 16. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 47%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace win 28%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Crystal Palace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||