Aston Villa v Luton Town, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
McGinn 17'Diaby 49'Lockyer 62' (OG)
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.5 to 0.7
LutonLuton Town
Martínez 83' (OG)
- Date Sunday, October 29, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 29. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 74%, draw 14%, Luton win 12%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Luton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||