Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 4'Luiz 29', 39'Bailey 61'
Final score 4 to 2
Expected goals 1.8 to 1.4
Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest
Niakhaté 45+5'Gibbs-White 48'
- Date Saturday, February 24, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 24. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 59%, draw 22%, Nott'm Forest win 19%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 24. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Nott'm Forest | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||