Aston Villa v West Ham United, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
Luiz 30', 52' penaltyWatkins 74'Bailey 89'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 2.1 to 1.1
West HamWest Ham United
Bowen 56'
- Date Sunday, October 22, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 22. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 53%, draw 21%, West Ham win 26%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | West Ham | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||