Brentford v Aston Villa, Premier League 2023–24
BrentfordBrentford
Lewis-Potter 45'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 0.5 to 1.7
Aston VillaAston Villa
Moreno 77'Watkins 85'
- Date Sunday, December 17, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 17. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brentford favored. Brentford win 47%, draw 22%, Aston Villa win 31%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brentford | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.2 | ||