Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston Villa, Premier League 2023–24
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Pedro 87'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.7 to 0.1
Aston VillaAston Villa
- Date Sunday, May 5, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 5. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brighton favored. Brighton win 45%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 31%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brighton | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.1 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.2 | ||