Brighton & Hove Albion v Luton Town, Premier League 2023–24
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
March 36'Pedro 71' penaltyAdingra 85'Ferguson 90+5'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 3.6 to 1.9
LutonLuton Town
Morris 81' penalty
- Date Saturday, August 12, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brighton favored. Brighton win 62%, draw 19%, Luton win 19%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brighton | Luton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.9 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||