Burnley v Arsenal, Premier League 2023–24
BurnleyBurnley
Final score 0 to 5
Expected goals 0.5 to 2.4
ArsenalArsenal
Ødegaard 4'Saka 41' penalty, 47'Trossard 66'Havertz 78'
- Date Saturday, February 17, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 17. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Burnley win 14%, draw 19%, Arsenal win 67%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.4 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 5 | ||
| 0.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.5 | ||