Burnley v Aston Villa, Premier League 2023–24
BurnleyBurnley
Foster 47'
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 0.7 to 1.9
Aston VillaAston Villa
Cash 8', 20'Diaby 61'
- Date Sunday, August 27, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 27. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Burnley win 27%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 49%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 0.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.2 | ||