Burnley v Brentford, Premier League 2023–24
BurnleyBurnley
Bruun Larsen 10' penaltyDatro Fofana 62'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 2.5 to 1.1
BrentfordBrentford
Ajer 83'
- Date Saturday, March 16, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 16. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brentford favored. Burnley win 26%, draw 24%, Brentford win 50%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Brentford | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||