Burnley v Chelsea, Premier League 2023–24
BurnleyBurnley
Odobert 15'
Final score 1 to 4
Expected goals 1.0 to 1.5
ChelseaChelsea
Al Dakhil 42' (OG)Palmer 50' penaltySterling 65'Jackson 74'
- Date Saturday, October 7, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 7. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Burnley win 22%, draw 23%, Chelsea win 55%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 7. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Chelsea | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.5 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.7 | ||