Burnley v Luton Town, Premier League 2023–24
BurnleyBurnley
Amdouni 36'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.0 to 0.9
LutonLuton Town
Morris 90+2'
- Date Friday, January 12, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Burnley favored. Burnley win 48%, draw 22%, Luton win 30%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Luton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||