Burnley v Manchester United, Premier League 2023–24
BurnleyBurnley
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 1.7 to 1.0
Man UnitedManchester United
Fernandes 45'
- Date Saturday, September 23, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 23. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man United favored. Burnley win 19%, draw 18%, Man United win 63%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 23. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Man United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||