Burnley v Newcastle United, Premier League 2023–24
BurnleyBurnley
O'Shea 86'
Final score 1 to 4
Expected goals 1.2 to 2.8
NewcastleNewcastle United
Wilson 19'Longstaff 35'Guimarães 40'Isak 55'
- Date Saturday, May 4, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Burnley win 25%, draw 22%, Newcastle win 53%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 0.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.3 | ||