Chelsea v Arsenal, Premier League 2023–24
ChelseaChelsea
Palmer 15' penaltyMudryk 48'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 1.4 to 1.4
ArsenalArsenal
Rice 77'Trossard 84'
- Date Saturday, October 21, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Chelsea win 34%, draw 23%, Arsenal win 43%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.4 | ||