Chelsea v Aston Villa, Premier League 2023–24
ChelseaChelsea
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 1.2 to 1.5
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 73'
- Date Sunday, September 24, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 24. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 46%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 30%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 24. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.5 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.6 | ||