Chelsea v Burnley, Premier League 2023–24
ChelseaChelsea
Palmer 44' penalty, 78'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 3.8 to 1.6
BurnleyBurnley
Cullen 47'O'Shea 81'
- Date Saturday, March 30, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 69%, draw 18%, Burnley win 13%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||