Chelsea v Manchester City, Premier League 2023–24
ChelseaChelsea
Silva 29'Sterling 37'Jackson 67'Palmer 90+5' penalty
Final score 4 to 4
Expected goals 2.3 to 2.3
Man CityManchester City
Haaland 25' penalty, 47'Akanji 45+1'Rodri 86'
- Date Sunday, November 12, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Chelsea win 24%, draw 22%, Man City win 54%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.3 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.4 | ||