Chelsea v Newcastle United, Premier League 2023–24
ChelseaChelsea
Jackson 6'Palmer 57'Mudryk 76'
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 1.3 to 1.0
NewcastleNewcastle United
Isak 43'Murphy 90'
- Date Monday, March 11, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 11. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 44%, draw 22%, Newcastle win 34%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||