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Crystal Palace v Arsenal, Premier League 2023–24

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 1.2 to 2.5

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Ødegaard 54' penalty

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Crystal Palace win 30%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 45%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Crystal Palace and Arsenal
Crystal PalaceArsenal
1.22.5
0Goals1
0.72.2