Crystal Palace v Chelsea, Premier League 2023–24
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Lerma 30'
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 0.8 to 1.3
ChelseaChelsea
Gallagher 47', 90+1'Fernández 90+4'
- Date Monday, February 12, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Crystal Palace win 35%, draw 25%, Chelsea win 40%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Crystal Palace | Chelsea | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.7 | ||