Everton v Luton Town, Premier League 2023–24
EvertonEverton
Calvert-Lewin 41'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 3.4 to 1.3
LutonLuton Town
Lockyer 24'Morris 31'
- Date Saturday, September 30, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 54%, draw 20%, Luton win 26%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Luton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||