Liverpool v Newcastle United, Premier League 2023–24
LiverpoolLiverpool
Salah 49', 86' penaltyJones 74'Gakpo 78'
Final score 4 to 2
Expected goals 4.8 to 0.5
NewcastleNewcastle United
Isak 54'Botman 81'
- Date Monday, January 1, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 55%, draw 20%, Newcastle win 25%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Liverpool | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.1 | ||