Luton Town v Aston Villa, Premier League 2023–24
LutonLuton Town
Chong 66'Morris 72'
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 2.0 to 1.8
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 24', 38'Digne 89'
- Date Saturday, March 2, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 2. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Luton win 26%, draw 20%, Aston Villa win 54%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Luton | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.8 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||