Luton Town v Burnley, Premier League 2023–24
LutonLuton Town
Adebayo 84'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 1.5 to 1.1
BurnleyBurnley
Foster 45+2'Bruun Larsen 85'
- Date Tuesday, October 3, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Luton favored. Luton win 51%, draw 20%, Burnley win 29%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Luton | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||