Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2023–24
Man CityManchester City
Álvarez 7'Haaland 19'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 0.6 to 0.9
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Fati 73'
- Date Saturday, October 21, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 68%, draw 17%, Brighton win 15%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||