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Manchester City v Liverpool, Premier League 2023–24

Man CityManchester City

Haaland 27'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.6 to 1.1

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Alexander-Arnold 80'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 58%, draw 19%, Liverpool win 23%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Liverpool
Man CityLiverpool
1.61.1
1Goals1
1.81.0