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Manchester City v Luton Town, Premier League 2023–24

Man CityManchester City

Hashioka 2' (OG)Kovacic 64'Haaland 76' penaltyDoku 87'Gvardiol 90+3'

Final score 5 to 1

Expected goals 4.7 to 0.4

Full time

LutonLuton Town

Barkley 81'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 86%, draw 9%, Luton win 5%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 13. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Luton
Man CityLuton
4.70.4
5Goals1
2.90.0