Manchester United v Arsenal, Premier League 2023–24
Man UnitedManchester United
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 0.9 to 1.5
ArsenalArsenal
Trossard 20'
- Date Sunday, May 12, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Man United win 20%, draw 21%, Arsenal win 59%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man United | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.5 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||