Newcastle United v Arsenal, Premier League 2023–24
NewcastleNewcastle United
Gordon 64'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 0.8 to 1.0
ArsenalArsenal
- Date Saturday, November 4, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 49%, draw 21%, Arsenal win 30%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||