Newcastle United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2023–24
NewcastleNewcastle United
Tonali 6'Isak 16', 58'Wilson 77'Barnes 90+1'
Final score 5 to 1
Expected goals 2.2 to 2.5
Aston VillaAston Villa
Diaby 11'
- Date Saturday, August 12, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 58%, draw 22%, Aston Villa win 20%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.5 | ||
| 5 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.6 | ||